We are +24 at Air force

Everything Wyoming Cowboy and Mountain West football!
Post Reply
bladerunnr
A Real Cowboy
Posts: 1962
Joined: Sat Sep 27, 2008 7:45 pm
Has liked: 3 times
Been liked: 66 times

At 5 dimes, the line started at 18 1/2 and has moved to 24. I took the 24. It seems the no matter where the line is set in our game, the money goes against us in a very one sided way. If I recall, these are the games Seattle Cowboy likes. I'd be interested if anyone has a system regarding big line moves. My assumption has been the betting money is usually wrong.

Any one going to the game? I usually go down but it's an 8:15 start so I'm on the fence.....
User avatar
BeaverPoke
Bronco-Buster
Posts: 8009
Joined: Mon Feb 06, 2012 6:00 pm
Location: Corvallis, Oregon

My very pessimistic self think this could be the surprise of the season.

I am not putting money on it though. And by surprise I mean keep it actually close.
If you ever need to laugh, just remember there was some idiot who wanted Bohl fired after 2 seasons.
User avatar
GoPokes86
Cowpoke
Posts: 508
Joined: Wed Aug 06, 2014 8:48 pm
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 10 times

Unfortunately I think that line is probably spot on. This game really sticks out after what New Mexico was able to do on the ground against us. We seem to play up a little more for Air Force, but they'll be out for blood after the last two meetings against us. I can see them going off for about 450 on the ground Saturday night. I hate saying this, but there's no reason to believe otherwise.
User avatar
fromolwyoming
WyoNation Lifer
Posts: 12832
Joined: Sat Nov 28, 2009 11:13 pm
Location: Laramie, Home of the Cowboys
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 2 times

GoPokes86 wrote:Unfortunately I think that line is probably spot on. This game really sticks out after what New Mexico was able to do on the ground against us. We seem to play up a little more for Air Force, but they'll be out for blood after the last two meetings against us. I can see them going off for about 450 on the ground Saturday night. I hate saying this, but there's no reason to believe otherwise.
Though if Air Force plays like they did against Navy...
ELKMT
A Real Cowboy
Posts: 1646
Joined: Fri Nov 06, 2009 9:53 am
Been liked: 6 times

We're gonna win.
User avatar
seattlecowboy
WyoNation Addict
Posts: 3612
Joined: Mon Jul 28, 2008 2:33 pm
Location: Seattle
Has liked: 2 times
Been liked: 16 times

bladerunnr wrote:At 5 dimes, the line started at 18 1/2 and has moved to 24. I took the 24. It seems the no matter where the line is set in our game, the money goes against us in a very one sided way. If I recall, these are the games Seattle Cowboy likes. I'd be interested if anyone has a system regarding big line moves. My assumption has been the betting money is usually wrong.

Any one going to the game? I usually go down but it's an 8:15 start so I'm on the fence.....
Going against big line moves from the middle to later in the season work best when it moves 5 points or more. It works best on road teams that get bet hard and their is heavy public action on them like 75% or more. You can take the home underdog and cover 75% of the time in those instances. Problem is you don't see a ton of them.

I use multiple systems I have created though for betting, that is just one of them.

Good luck on your Wyoming play! Be nice if Wyoming found a way to hit the moneyline lol.
Image

Follow me on Twitter for all of your Free/Paid sports wagers all year around. Football, Basketball, Baseball, Hockey, Soccer, Tennis, etc….

488-348 +721 Units won in 6.5 months follow @bet_chase on twitter….
User avatar
J-Rod
Bronco-Buster
Posts: 6455
Joined: Mon Aug 13, 2007 8:23 am

I think Wyo covers and surprises in this one. Not sold on Air Force.
WyoBrandX
A Real Cowboy
Posts: 1785
Joined: Fri Aug 07, 2009 11:01 pm
Location: Laramie, Wyoming

Wyoming finds its identity and plays a complete game. The team gels. Wins by 3 points.
bladerunnr
A Real Cowboy
Posts: 1962
Joined: Sat Sep 27, 2008 7:45 pm
Has liked: 3 times
Been liked: 66 times

marcuswyo wrote:We're gonna win.
Thinking like that tempts me to make a bet on the moneyline, since we are +1400. However, reality says something else. I needed a last minute td last week for us to cover a 21 pt. spread. Outright wins seems a little far fetched right now.
ragtimejoe1
Bronco-Buster
Posts: 5196
Joined: Mon Dec 02, 2013 1:21 pm
Has liked: 20 times
Been liked: 129 times

I'm not sure if we are disciplined enough yet to slow down AF on O. I do think our O will score some points but not enough.

I might take WYO and the 24 points; I think we at least cover.
WYO1016 wrote: Fri Dec 08, 2023 8:10 am I'm starting to think that Burman has been laying the pipe to ragtimejoe1's wife
Insults are the last resort of fools with a crumbling position.
Danmully
Ranch Hand
Posts: 180
Joined: Mon Feb 02, 2009 5:22 pm

Call me crazy but i think we got a shot. Time to turn this poop around
TSpoke
A Real Cowboy
Posts: 1435
Joined: Thu Sep 25, 2008 10:08 am

Games with AF always seem to be crazy games and often come down to the wire. Records dont really seem to matter. So I think we cover. I expect a close game.
stymeman
Bronco-Buster
Posts: 7225
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:40 pm
Location: Cheyenne, again
Has liked: 4 times
Been liked: 44 times

if we can't stop other teams running games how in the hell are we gonna stop the option threat??? just don't see it...yet, but yes we cover
OrediggerPoke
Bronco-Buster
Posts: 6200
Joined: Thu Sep 25, 2008 12:57 am
Has liked: 63 times
Been liked: 230 times

As poor as we have played, we are 2-3 against the spread this year.

+24 is a crazy line against Air Force especially considering that Wyoming beat them last year and the coaches have had two years to prepare for Air Force. Also, both Air Force and Wyoming are likely to eat a lot of clock with the run.

We won't win but I feel very comfortable that we cover.
User avatar
LanderPoke
WyoNation Lifer
Posts: 11178
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2014 8:47 pm
Location: Laramie
Has liked: 597 times
Been liked: 238 times

OrediggerPoke wrote:As poor as we have played, we are 2-3 against the spread this year.

+24 is a crazy line against Air Force especially considering that Wyoming beat them last year and the coaches have had two years to prepare for Air Force. Also, both Air Force and Wyoming are likely to eat a lot of clock with the run.

We won't win but I feel very comfortable that we cover.
We know for a fact that they are going to run the ball down our throats and we will likely give up at least two 40+ yd scoring plays. Whether we can cover will come down to our red zone execution. Can we get that garbage time score to keep it under 24? It will be interesting to watch.
User avatar
WYO_Fan_inPA
Ranch Hand
Posts: 459
Joined: Mon Oct 06, 2014 4:29 pm
Location: Tennessee
Has liked: 17 times
Been liked: 12 times

I would take WYO at +24. It's a rivalry. History shows it's been competitive. Who knows, the kids might find their identity this evening.
Image
User avatar
Wyo2dal
Bronco-Buster
Posts: 7392
Joined: Sat Sep 01, 2007 12:36 pm
Location: Dome of Doom
Been liked: 1 time

We don't have that much trouble scoring I'll take Wyoming anytime they give us 24 or more.
lakesbison
Cowpoke
Posts: 611
Joined: Mon Mar 10, 2008 4:57 pm
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 1 time

I'm all over Wyoming covering. I'm on Wyoming +500 winning on money line!! Get that WIN
Post Reply