SnowyRange wrote:t doesn't cost millions. It wouldn't cost any more than $10k. And that's a stretch. They could raise that with 5-10 phone calls. Let's just say I would have known about any such effort.
Let's just say I would have too.
But my point was not about the cost of a presentation, as they could swing that. My point was about how politically difficult it would be to be seen making such a pointless presentation, a presentation that would necessarily include promises to the Big XII of spending millions...in this fiscal mess UW is in.
And here is the "Wyoming Mindset". Risk-averse and afraid to fail.
This is the core issue with most Wyoming enterprise. This is an instance of risk vs. reward as the greatest consideration. The risk is absolutely minimal compared to the reward. Our odds are no longer than 75% of the candidate field.
Furthermore, properly presented, a decent case for Wyoming could be made insofar as history, facilities, solvency, campus culture, academics, and even, to an extent, geography. All four front range schools would make a sensible (perhaps not optimal across all metrics, but sensible insofar as geographical continuity, school profiles, and the greatest parts of three states' TV markets) addition to the Big 12. The biggest hurdle, in my opinion, for Wyoming to argue inclusion is TV market. Wyoming's TV market is small in the extreme, in the conventional scheme of things. But a case has to be built and made about Cowboy fans and the TV market being a diaspora greater than the obvious market measured by conventional metrics. Merchandise sales, past TV ratings, and any other favorable evidence of a fan base consistent with being the second largest one in the
MW needs to be brought forth, organized, collated, codified, quantified, and presented...
All that being said, I still say the most likely scenario is the Big 12 adds Houston and Cincinnati and calls it a day. I think they're going to get some more money and less resistance from their TV partners if they simply fulfill their name. Odds are, in my opinion, about 4-1 that's what happens. Going to 14, odds are about 10-1. BYU* or any MW school getting added start at about 12-1.