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ZapPoke wrote: ↑Mon Nov 13, 2023 10:22 pm I’m not much of a gambler but I’m tempted to take Hawaii with that spread. I think the Pokes will win, but not by >14

ragtimejoe1 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 7:26 am I'd like to see Seattle's take on this.

I was surprised it was that high. I haven't paid too close of attention to HI. Is their run D bad?

Poke in New England wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 8:00 am

ragtimejoe1 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 7:26 am I'd like to see Seattle's take on this.

I was surprised it was that high. I haven't paid too close of attention to HI. Is their run D bad?

They just held Air Force to 4.3 YPC. Which is better than any other Mountain West team has managed this year. Wyoming has given up the most BTW (6.7).

OrediggerPoke wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 8:57 pm Vegas isn’t dumb. There must be some matchup reason they see the game with this kind of spread. However, I predict the line will be about -10.5 by game time.

But there are few FCS teams where Wyoming should be a 2 TD favorite given Bohl’s style of play. This is very strange.

seattlecowboy wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 10:52 pm Not my favorite game to wager on this weekend by any means.

I do think this is a pretty good spot for Wyoming here though. Wyoming’s last 3 losses have all been on the road against teams that are pretty decent this year and we all know Bohl isn’t good on the road.

Different story at home though. Wyoming is in a spot where they need to get another win under their belt and shouldn’t lose to a team as bad as Hawaii.

Hawaii winning last week was somewhat of a fluke, just like AFA’s loss the week before to a bad Army team. AFA seems to have a bad turnover problem going on all of the sudden. They had 6 turnover against Army along with getting stopped on downs twice, so basically 8 turnovers vs Army.
Then last weekend vs Hawaii they turned the ball over 4 times and had one of them returned for a TD by Hawaii. AFA also missed a chip shot 27 yard fg.

You are actually getting some line value with Wyoming because Hawaii got a fluke win and Wyoming hasn’t played well on the road against far better teams than Hawaii. This spread would have been Wyoming -19 or -20 the week before the Boise St game.

Hawaii basically just beat the top dog in the conference and shot their load as the last place or next to last place team. They will probably be a little flat this week to start the game. Wyoming should be able to move the ball at will on these guys and I can see Wyoming winning this game by 3 scores.

I told you guys to take New Mexico when Hawaii played the Lobos in Albuquerque a couple of weeks back and the Lobos beat them by 21. I see the same thing happening here.

As fans people over react too much a lot of the times and don’t see the forest for the trees. As a fan I have been guilty of that at times in my life also. Comes with being a fan.

Again this isn’t my favorite game to wager on this weekend but that is basically how I see this game and I think Wyoming is the right side in this game if you can get them at -13.5 or less.

Good luck if you guys play it.

bladerunnr wrote: ↑Wed Nov 15, 2023 8:25 am

seattlecowboy wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 10:52 pm Not my favorite game to wager on this weekend by any means.

I do think this is a pretty good spot for Wyoming here though. Wyoming’s last 3 losses have all been on the road against teams that are pretty decent this year and we all know Bohl isn’t good on the road.

Different story at home though. Wyoming is in a spot where they need to get another win under their belt and shouldn’t lose to a team as bad as Hawaii.

Hawaii winning last week was somewhat of a fluke, just like AFA’s loss the week before to a bad Army team. AFA seems to have a bad turnover problem going on all of the sudden. They had 6 turnover against Army along with getting stopped on downs twice, so basically 8 turnovers vs Army.
Then last weekend vs Hawaii they turned the ball over 4 times and had one of them returned for a TD by Hawaii. AFA also missed a chip shot 27 yard fg.

You are actually getting some line value with Wyoming because Hawaii got a fluke win and Wyoming hasn’t played well on the road against far better teams than Hawaii. This spread would have been Wyoming -19 or -20 the week before the Boise St game.

Hawaii basically just beat the top dog in the conference and shot their load as the last place or next to last place team. They will probably be a little flat this week to start the game. Wyoming should be able to move the ball at will on these guys and I can see Wyoming winning this game by 3 scores.

I told you guys to take New Mexico when Hawaii played the Lobos in Albuquerque a couple of weeks back and the Lobos beat them by 21. I see the same thing happening here.

As fans people over react too much a lot of the times and don’t see the forest for the trees. As a fan I have been guilty of that at times in my life also. Comes with being a fan.

Again this isn’t my favorite game to wager on this weekend but that is basically how I see this game and I think Wyoming is the right side in this game if you can get them at -13.5 or less.

Good luck if you guys play it.

Here's where I disagree: Hawaii has as many conference wins as we do. So I'm not sure they are as bad as you say. Secondly, we haven't scored more than 27 points in a game since New Mexico. And lastly, we've only won one game this year by double digits (Portland St.). I'm pretty sure Hawaii is better than Portland state. It seems like no team scores fewer points than we do. That's why 13.5 seems monumental.

bladerunnr wrote: ↑Wed Nov 15, 2023 8:25 am

seattlecowboy wrote: ↑Tue Nov 14, 2023 10:52 pm Not my favorite game to wager on this weekend by any means.

I do think this is a pretty good spot for Wyoming here though. Wyoming’s last 3 losses have all been on the road against teams that are pretty decent this year and we all know Bohl isn’t good on the road.

Different story at home though. Wyoming is in a spot where they need to get another win under their belt and shouldn’t lose to a team as bad as Hawaii.

Hawaii winning last week was somewhat of a fluke, just like AFA’s loss the week before to a bad Army team. AFA seems to have a bad turnover problem going on all of the sudden. They had 6 turnover against Army along with getting stopped on downs twice, so basically 8 turnovers vs Army.
Then last weekend vs Hawaii they turned the ball over 4 times and had one of them returned for a TD by Hawaii. AFA also missed a chip shot 27 yard fg.

You are actually getting some line value with Wyoming because Hawaii got a fluke win and Wyoming hasn’t played well on the road against far better teams than Hawaii. This spread would have been Wyoming -19 or -20 the week before the Boise St game.

Hawaii basically just beat the top dog in the conference and shot their load as the last place or next to last place team. They will probably be a little flat this week to start the game. Wyoming should be able to move the ball at will on these guys and I can see Wyoming winning this game by 3 scores.

I told you guys to take New Mexico when Hawaii played the Lobos in Albuquerque a couple of weeks back and the Lobos beat them by 21. I see the same thing happening here.

As fans people over react too much a lot of the times and don’t see the forest for the trees. As a fan I have been guilty of that at times in my life also. Comes with being a fan.

Again this isn’t my favorite game to wager on this weekend but that is basically how I see this game and I think Wyoming is the right side in this game if you can get them at -13.5 or less.

Good luck if you guys play it.

Here's where I disagree: Hawaii has as many conference wins as we do. So I'm not sure they are as bad as you say. Secondly, we haven't scored more than 27 points in a game since New Mexico. And lastly, we've only won one game this year by double digits (Portland St.). I'm pretty sure Hawaii is better than Portland state. It seems like no team scores fewer points than we do. That's why 13.5 seems monumental.