The stats take that into consideration. Those under 50 just don't get that sick even considering underlying health conditions. Those you refer to are in the dead stats which are less than pneumonia.wwplayer wrote: ↑Tue Apr 21, 2020 6:26 pmInteresting, maybe even convincing, math, but it only takes into consideration those who are hospitalized. What about all of the people with the virus who are asymptomatic, those with mild cases, those who have the virus for number of days before they start to get (a little/a lot/dead) sick. They are all carriers. That's where the problem really lies. Not with the ones in the hospital.ragtimejoe1 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 21, 2020 2:25 pm Here's some math:
Ballpark of 70% of the population is 54 and under = roughly 230 million people.
According to the CDC, age 49 and under have a .01% hospitalization rate 10/100,000.
Also according to the CDC, 10% of adults who are hospitalized have no known prior health conditions.
230 million people x .01% hospitalization rate = 23,000 hospitalizations
Of the 23,000 hospitalizations, we should be able to categorize at least 80% of those to keep in quarantine.
That means, letting everyone under 50-54 out of quarantine runs the risk of having 4,600 unknown hospitalizations.
Going further, total of 1,453 deaths from COVID19 in the crowd under 54 (again most of those with underlying health conditions) and 3,274 pneumonia deaths where influenza or COVID aren't listed as disease.
Something doesn't add up to me??
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nc ... index.html
Something isn't adding up.